| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +8.1% | +8.1% |
| 1w | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +15.6% | +15.6% |
| 1m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
MSFT is among the first SaaS survivors of the early 2026 crash, up +30% from lows despite being cheap on valuation metrics. The author expects further upside as investors re-allocate to undervalued growth stocks with solid fundamentals.
PAYC survived the early 2026 SaaS crash and has already rallied +90% from lows. The author cites strong earnings and positive headlines as catalysts, and believes undervalued SaaS stocks will be re-rated upward by investors once market sentiment shifts.
NOW has double-digit revenue growth (+21% YoY), strong free cash flow generation (+35% YoY), and a defensible moat via land-and-expand business model with high switching costs. Trading at historically low valuations across PS, PB, and price-to-cashflow multiples, the stock offers upside as market recognizes the quality of the IT Service Management market leader.
End of results.