u/AdOnly627

2 theses · first seen May 21, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	4	4	2	50%	-0.6%	-1.0%
3d	4	4	1	25%	-1.6%	-2.4%
1w	2	2	1	50%	-3.1%	-3.1%
1m	2	2	0	0%	-5.8%	-5.8%
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$TSLAYOLObullish

u/AdOnly627 · 47d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long TSLA $990C exp Dec 18 · 223 contracts

SpaceX/Tesla Merger Double Down

Author holds 223 Tesla $990 calls expiring Dec 18, 2026, betting on a surprise SpaceX-Tesla merger announcement that would drive dramatic upside. The merger would allow Elon to consolidate AI and robotics control across both entities, with shares trading in lockstep pre-close.

At post $408.95Now $313.03-23.5% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET

1d-3.0%

3d-2.4%

1w+0.5%

1m-3.6%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$TSLAYOLObullish

u/AdOnly627 · 74d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long TSLA $990C exp Dec 18 · 115 contracts

SpaceX Is Buying Tesla — Sooner Than You Think

Author expects SpaceX to announce a merger with Tesla before or during the SpaceX IPO process, with the announcement likely at Tesla's June 11 shareholder meeting. A merger announcement would drive Tesla stock 30% higher immediately, with further upside if SpaceX IPO pops 50%, creating massive leverage on long call options.

At post $433.45Now $313.03-27.8% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET

1d+2.7%

3d-2.6%

1w-6.8%

1m-7.9%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

End of results.