u/AmsterdamValueInvest

1 thesis · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
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3d1100%-6.9%-6.9%
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NFLXr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/AmsterdamValueInvest · 6d agono track record yet

Netflix reports Tuesday. Reverse DCF walkthrough

At ~$70, Netflix requires only ~9% annual free cash flow growth over 10 years to justify its valuation, well below its recent 38% growth pace, providing meaningful margin of safety. Strong cash generation ($9.5B in 2025, ~$11B guided for 2026), expanding margins, and a 325M+ subscriber base with under half addressable households reached support the case.

At post $69.85Now $65.85-5.7% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET
1d—
3d-6.9%
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original post →

End of results.