“Put Options (position not yet executed; author asks for reasons to justify valuation before laying down Put Options)”
Can Someone Explain Why PANW is Worth 299 x Earnings??
PANW trades at an extreme 299x earnings and 30x revenue, which the author considers economically indefensible and enters fairy-tale territory. The author plans to establish put option positions, betting on a significant downward correction.
At post $385.04·Now $402.53+4.5% since postedas of Oct 13, 12:31 PM ET
1d—
3d-0.3%
1w-0.2%
1m-13.4%
3m—
6m—
1y—
Paypal (PYPL) Stock Today + Calls Tomorrow at Open
Paypal trades at 8x PE, roughly one-third the S&P 500 average of 24x, representing significant undervaluation. Any positive news could trigger significant upside as the market reprices the stock higher.
At post $44.98·Now $56.13+24.8% since postedas of Oct 13, 12:31 PM ET
1d+1.2%
3d+0.5%
1w+5.7%
1m+28.5%
3m+17.4%
6m—
1y—
“100 FD Calls + 60 Weekly Calls”
WEN the Weak Willed Have Left… YOLO that Shit. 100 FD Calls + 60 Weekly Calls
Volatility has calmed and weak hands have exited. Author is betting on upside with 100 FD calls and 60 weekly calls, suggesting confidence that the stock won't go much lower from $7.46.
At post $7.33·Now $6.26-14.7% since postedas of Oct 14, 11:31 AM ET
1d+6.4%
3d+6.4%
1w+17.3%
1m-4.6%
3m-8.2%
6m—
1y—
“a ton of calls”
SPCE Down Big So Added On a Ton of Calls
Author is doubling down on Virgin Galactic calls after a significant drawdown, betting on a reversal to the upside.
At post $4.29·Now $2.43-43.4% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+10.0%
3d+2.1%
1w+9.8%
1m-37.1%
3m-32.2%
6m—
1y—
“pre IPO shares held until June 12th IPO”
SPCE(X) Pre IPO Shares + Calls
Author believes pre-IPO shares in SpaceX will surge dramatically at IPO launch on June 12th due to inflow of capital from the anticipated $1.5T valuation. With simplistic math, a 1% capital redirect would push SPCE shares to ~$150 per share.
At post $7.52·Now $2.43-67.7% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-39.0%
3d-37.2%
1w-45.2%
1m-63.0%
3m-60.9%
6m—
1y—
Carvana CVNA On the Downswing (puts)
Carvana faces bearish technicals with a death cross pattern, insider share dumping, 30% dilution over two years, and vulnerability to consumer pressure from inflation and rising gas prices, particularly due to reliance on subprime auto loans. The stock is unwinding after a 5-1 split and earnings, suggesting all positive catalysts are priced in. The author holds profitable put positions.
At post $67.17·Now $58.71-12.6% since postedas of Oct 19, 4:30 PM ET
1d—
3d-1.7%
1w+1.7%
1m-4.6%
3m+11.0%
6m—
1y—
“1,000 barrels for $96.73 cost basis, financially settled against physical barrels for June Delivery”
MCL / USO Oil Yolo
Oil has tanked to below $100/barrel due to market crisis, but the author believes a recovery is likely and bought 1,000 barrels at $96.73 cost basis for June delivery. A single positive catalyst could trigger a 5-10k profit overnight.
At post $138.66·Now $152.00+9.6% since postedas of Oct 13, 12:31 PM ET
1d+4.1%
3d+3.1%
1w+7.7%
1m-3.1%
3m-14.9%
6m—
1y—
Carvana CVNA Puts
CVNA has rallied from $280 to $390 but is flashing bearish moving average signals. With a thin 6% profit margin, rising fuel and inflation pose significant headwinds. The recent stock split is symbolic hype with no fundamental value, and once enthusiasm fades, downside risk emerges.
At post $75.82·Now $58.71-22.6% since postedas of Oct 19, 4:30 PM ET
1d+2.7%
3d+2.8%
1w-2.8%
1m-12.7%
3m-12.8%
6m—
1y—