u/Bulls_Will_Win — thesis ledger

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	1	1	0	0%	-1.7%	-1.7%
3d	1	1	0	0%	-1.2%	-1.2%
1w	1	1	0	0%	-7.8%	-7.8%
1m	1	1	1	100%	+79.8%	+79.8%
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Window

Theses

Resolved

Wins

Win rate

Avg return

Median return

-1.7%

-1.2%

-7.8%

100%

+79.8%

—

Thesis history

$SLSYOLObullish

u/Bulls_Will_Win · 54d agono track record yet

Long 1799 shares of SLS

Here is what can still fail the SLS trial when success seems "guaranteed"

Author, a biomedicine professor, models the SLS trial using conservative Weibull methodology and estimates an 80% probability of success, 15% narrow miss, and 5% failure. Despite not being mathematically guaranteed, the expected upside from trial success and potential regulatory approvals justify current valuation; author holds 1799 shares.

At post $8.33Now $11.32+35.9% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET

1d-1.7%

3d-1.2%

1w-7.8%

1m+79.8%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

End of results.