| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +15.7% | +15.7% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +22.8% | +22.8% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +5.7% | +5.7% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +2.8% | +2.8% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
AAOI trades at a 9B marketcap while forecasted to generate 5.5B annualized revenue from transceivers within a year. Data centre optical connectivity is the critical AI bottleneck, positioning AAOI as the leading beneficiary of 800G/1.6T transceiver adoption.
Nebius is building a vertically integrated AI infrastructure company with best-in-class management execution, owning compute and building software stack. The author expects significant upside from Nebius positioning as a fourth hyperscaler, with potential tailwinds from OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs.
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