u/ConceptGlittering233

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%+12.4%+12.4%
3d111100%+12.4%+12.4%
1w1100%-5.1%-5.1%
1m000
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$RDDTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/ConceptGlittering233 · 27d agono track record yet

Reddit (RDDT): Done the DCF but want to understand ARPU runway

Reddit's ARPU is expected to roughly double by 2030 while international DAU nearly doubles and operating margins reach 45%, resulting in a fair value of $150–160/share. The core thesis is an ARPU bet contingent on genuine monetization runway beyond low-hanging fruit, with Reddit's recent execution suggesting operating assumptions are achievable.

At post $158.46Now $149.38-5.7% since postedas of Sep 8, 4:30 PM ET
1d+12.4%
3d+12.4%
1w-5.1%
1m
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.