| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| 3d | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -3.1% | -4.5% |
| 1w | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | -3.8% | -1.9% |
| 1m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only.
Author has built a large leveraged long position in Nokia, starting from 290k CAD in February and currently worth 1.1m CAD. The author expects Nokia to reach $30 per share and will reassess at that price target.
Second tranche of Nokia call options at higher strike price reflects conviction in the bull thesis with direct exposure to near-term price appreciation above the $15 level by late January 2028.
Nokia options position reflects bullish conviction on near-term revaluation: 288 calls at $10 strike Jan 28 and 123 calls at $15 strike Jan 28 suggest author expects material upside within 6 weeks as valuation gap closes relative to AI infrastructure peers.
Nokia is transitioning from a legacy telecom hardware company to an AI and defence infrastructure player. Current PE of 26 sits between telecom comparables (Ericsson at 17) and optical infrastructure comparables (Arista at 54), positioning Nokia for a valuation rewrite to ~$26.8 if it successfully establishes itself as an AI infrastructure and defence supplier, with further upside from emerging AI-RAN revenue streams.
NOK has caught up to its 2012 valuation when it sold its phone company; the author views the stock as entering a re-evaluation and growth phase with upside ahead. Position includes 650K shares (accumulated since February with 30% purchased today) and 15-strike leap calls rolled from 10-strike calls, representing conviction that the market will assign a higher valuation going forward.
End of results.