| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1w | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1y | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Nike is beaten down and overlooked despite its cultural impact and cyclical nature of fashion trends. The author believes the stock's decline from the S&P 100 has created an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity as brands and trends cycle back into favor over 5-10 year horizons.
FICO's formerly monopolistic credit-scoring position is eroding as VantageScore 4.0 gains FHFA approval for mortgage lending, converting the market from a monopoly to a duopoly. The 20% stock decline reflects structural competitive pressure that may persist despite FICO's quality edge.
Broadcom is delivering strong earnings growth and outperforming semiconductor peers on fundamentals, yet the stock lags in market attention and valuation. The author believes the market is underpricing this growth trajectory and sees a compelling entry at current levels, with potential for significant upside if price targets are revised toward $600.
AppLovin is growing 60% year-over-year and is no longer priced for perfection after the recent selloff. The author initiated a 5% position at $303, viewing the falling-knife narrative as an overreaction that presents a value opportunity.
End of results.