| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.3% | +1.3% |
| 3d | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +0.5% | +0.5% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | +1.8% | +1.8% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +12.3% | +12.3% |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only.
Strait of Hormuz closure and failed Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire will disrupt oil supply. Despite today's drop, the supply shock has not yet reached US markets; oil will surge within a week as tanker delays resolve and global demand responds to scarcity.
Oil disruption from Strait of Hormuz closure due to failed ceasefire will trigger inflation spike and economic pain within a week. Tech stocks will be hit hardest, making QQQ vulnerable as supply chain and transportation costs rise across the economy.
End of results.