u/JamesWardVI

1 thesis · first seen Aug 21, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d1100%+2.2%+2.2%
3d1100%+0.4%+0.4%
1w1100%+1.2%+1.2%
1m111100%-8.4%-8.4%
3m111100%-10.5%-10.5%
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NKEr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish
u/JamesWardVI · 110d agono track record yet

Nike's revenue grew 43% over ten years and its net income fell 17%. I think that one sentence is the whole quality verdict.

Nike's revenue grew 43% over a decade while net income fell 17%, free cash flow collapsed from $6.6B to $2.2B, and operating margins halved. The moat has eroded as competitors (On, Hoka, New Balance) captured market share, evidenced by forced discounting, and the business is reverting to a competitive consumer goods company with no structural protection.

At post $41.70Now $37.76-9.4% since postedas of Nov 12, 4:31 PM ET
1d+2.2%
3d+0.4%
1w+1.2%
1m-8.4%
3m-10.5%
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.