| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 3 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +0.0% | -0.1% |
| 3d | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | +0.1% | +0.3% |
| 1w | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
| 1m | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | +0.7% | +3.2% |
| 3m | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | -1.7% | +3.1% |
| 6m | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | +0.9% | +8.5% |
| 1y | 3 | 3 | 3 | 100% | -4.2% | -15.0% |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Call options on an inverse Treasury ETF provide leveraged exposure to bond price declines as inflation and rising rates unfold.
The Russell 2000 is overvalued and vulnerable to a recession triggered by inflation-driven economic deterioration, making it a poor inflation hedge.
Rising inflation and subsequent interest rate increases will devalue long-duration treasuries, making the inverse 20+ year treasury ETF an effective inflation hedge.
Rising inflation will force interest rate increases, making long-duration 20+ year treasury bonds less attractive and causing their values to decline.
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