| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.9% | +0.9% |
| 3d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1w | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author is bullish on MRNA and has acquired cheap options and shares, betting against predictions of bankruptcy. The position implies conviction that the stock will recover.
Author is rotating into increasingly deep out-of-the-money puts (770, 767, 765 strikes), betting on a sharp downside move in the S&P 500. The position appears to be a leveraged bearish directional bet, with the author exiting prior positions in favor of lower strikes.
Author holds a large SNDK position expecting upside from deal rumors and AI/meta/space/Tesla momentum spillover ahead of earnings next week. Position survived significant drawdown, betting on a major reposition before earnings.
End of results.