u/KleinerFuchs14

2 theses · first seen May 31, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	1	1	1	100%	-6.9%	-6.9%
3d	2	2	2	100%	-11.2%	-11.2%
1w	2	2	2	100%	-13.4%	-13.4%
1m	2	2	2	100%	-32.0%	-32.0%
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$MSTRDDbearish

u/KleinerFuchs14 · 51d ago1 prior · awaiting results

“PUTs on MSTR; author already 25% in the green with existing puts”

Let's Bear Raid MSTR

Microstrategy is overleveraged with ~830k BTC purchased at an average of $75k and currently trading at $63k, financed by debt. The company is essentially a leveraged Bitcoin play that will be devastated if Bitcoin declines further, making puts an attractive bet as the AI bubble deflates.

At post $129.37Now $91.67-29.1% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET

1d-6.9%

3d-6.9%

1w-7.1%

1m-22.1%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MSTRDDbearish

u/KleinerFuchs14 · 56d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Long MSTR $130P exp Jun 17

The safest play for gay bears (like me) is puts on MSTR

MSTR is a burning house of cards. The company has burned through two-thirds of cash paying dividends and violated its promise to never sell bitcoin. When the company needs liquidity, forced bitcoin sales will crater the stock.

At post $149.78Now $91.67-38.8% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET

1d—

3d-15.5%

1w-19.6%

1m-42.0%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

End of results.