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u/Madison_369

2 theses · first seen Sep 4, 2026
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$MSFTr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish
u/Madison_369 · 34d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Short MSFT

I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.

Microsoft faces hidden exposure to circular AI financing risk: it invests in OpenAI, profits from the investment increase, and OpenAI spends billions on Azure—but OpenAI is still unprofitable. If AI monetization fails to justify spending, both the investment value and Azure revenue could deteriorate significantly.

At post $499.86Now $493.95-1.2% since postedas of Sep 8, 4:30 PM ET
original post →
$METAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish
u/Madison_369 · 34d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Long META

I’m rotating around 80% of my MSFT position into META. Here’s my reasoning.

META is undervalued because market concerns about Zuckerberg's spending and one-off legal expenses obscure a strong core ad business. Meta has the cleanest AI monetization story with direct B2C connections through real users and advertisers, whereas Microsoft's Azure revenue depends on risky circular AI financing loops.

At post $589.90Now $613.48+4.0% since postedas of Sep 8, 4:30 PM ET
original post →

End of results.