Archive mode — the ledger is frozen as of August 24, 2026. Past calls and track records remain browsable; no new data is being ingested.
u/Ok_Ad5628
4 theses · first seen May 21, 2026
| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|
| 1d | 2 | 2 | 2 | 100% | +2.5% | +2.5% |
| 3d | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +2.9% | +1.2% |
| 1w | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | -4.3% | -5.3% |
| 1m | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +3.2% | -4.4% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -12.2% | -12.2% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Thesis history
More $META YOLO
META is oversold and poised for a bounce. The author is reiterating conviction in an upside bet.
At post $622.40·Now $557.74-10.4% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.7%
3d-4.8%
1w-8.3%
1m-6.3%
3m—
6m—
1y—
$META bounce?
META is oversold and will bounce back to the 620s following AVGO's earnings report.
At post $597.08·Now $557.74-6.6% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+4.2%
3d-0.8%
1w-2.2%
1m-2.4%
3m—
6m—
1y—
$CRWV
CoreWeave weak hands are being shaken out and the stock is positioned to run up following similar rallies in NBIS and IREN. Author expects momentum-driven upside as weak investors exit.
At post $109.53·Now $86.25-21.3% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+14.0%
1w-8.3%
1m-11.8%
3m—
6m—
1y—
“22x 420/430 and 46x 490/500 06/18 spreads”
Ad revenue train next stop $APP
APP offers cleaner exposure to the performance ads and AI growth trend demonstrated by strong results from Meta, Reddit, and Zeta. The author holds multiple call spreads positioned for May earnings, expecting guidance to remain robust and ad spending momentum to continue.
At post $460.00·Now $299.64-34.9% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+3.3%
1w+1.9%
1m+33.3%
3m-12.2%
6m—
1y—