u/Paradisity

1 thesis · first seen May 29, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d000
3d111100%+4.1%+4.1%
1w1100%-0.8%-0.8%
1m111100%+3.3%+3.3%
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$TSMDDbullish
u/Paradisity · 45d agono track record yet
Long TSM

TSMC is the Hormuz Strait of semiconductors. I moved 30% of my portfolio over today.

TSM is severely undervalued relative to megacap peers due to geopolitical risk premium that is overblown; the company's 90% market share in advanced node manufacturing, massive R&D investment, and critical position in AI chip supply create a structural moat. With a 3-5 year horizon, TSM's valuation should re-rate significantly as it diversifies geographically and continues to dominate despite macro AI capex concerns.

At post $418.45Now $421.58+0.8% since postedas of Jul 13, 4:59 PM ET
1d
3d+4.1%
1w-0.8%
1m+3.3%
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.