u/PuzzledBag931

1 thesis · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d000———
3d111100%-0.5%-0.5%
1w111100%-1.8%-1.8%
1m1100%+12.8%+12.8%
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$PLTRr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/PuzzledBag931 · 48d agono track record yet

PLTR at ~75x sales: how do you underwrite a switching-cost moat that a government is actively trying to test?

Palantir's 75x sales multiple depends on an unproven switching-cost moat that management presents as permanent but is contingent on never being seriously tested. The NHS contract—with a break clause in 2027 and active parliamentary pressure to exercise it—will be the true test of whether the moat holds; if it fails there, the multiple collapses.

At post $170.30Now $196.75+15.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET
1d—
3d-0.5%
1w-1.8%
1m+12.8%
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.