u/SmartTriageIO

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NKEr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/SmartTriageIO · 241d agono track record yet

NKE is down 50%... but the math says it’s still expensive.

Nike is a value trap despite its 50% decline. The company trades at 36x P/E (above its 30x historical average) while facing -29% growth forecast and a 10% ROIC barely above cost of capital. Fair value is estimated at ~$56, making $61 overpriced until a real turnaround is proven.

At post $60.58Now $35.51-41.4% since postedas of Sep 18, 4:30 PM ET
1d—
3d+3.3%
1w+2.8%
1m-3.9%
3m-28.1%
6m-31.9%
1y—
original post →

End of results.