| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 3d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 1w | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +0.4% | +0.4% |
| 1m | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -13.3% | -13.3% |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
EIX has fallen 25% due to failed CA wildfire legislation, but the market reaction appears overdone given the strong dividend yield (6.5%) and solid dividend coverage (2.8x). The author expects mean reversion or a near-term bounce.
Charter's Cox acquisition and Liberty Broadband merger are complete, establishing a ~177mm share count. With expected 2027-2028 FCF of $6.1-9B ($42.50/share at midpoint vs. current $145), combined with planned debt reduction at discounts, one-time gains, and share buybacks, Charter appears significantly undervalued on a levered FCF basis.
End of results.