u/StormSmooth185

2 theses · first seen Oct 20, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	1	1	0	0%	-0.1%	-0.1%
3d	2	2	1	50%	+0.1%	+0.1%
1w	2	2	1	50%	+0.3%	+0.3%
1m	2	2	2	100%	+17.2%	+17.2%
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$WMTr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/StormSmooth185 · 37d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Is Walmart overvalued?

Despite a elevated 4.16 PEG ratio, Walmart is transitioning from low-margin retail to a high-margin tech-enabled ecosystem driven by digital advertising and membership revenue. Strong fundamentals including rising gross margins, negative 0.05 beta decoupling from market swings, and $41.56B in operating cash flow support the valuation, though currency headwinds and CapEx-driven depreciation present execution risks.

At post $106.79Now $119.15+11.6% since postedas of Oct 23, 1:45 PM ET

1d-0.1%

3d-0.1%

1w+0.7%

1m+11.3%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$DDOGr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish

u/StormSmooth185 · 41d ago1 prior · awaiting results

Datadog: AI Growth Engine or Overpriced Infrastructure Trap?

Datadog operates as a non-discretionary utility for cloud-native firms with a strong switching-cost moat, supported by 120% net dollar retention and 75% of growth from existing customers. While infrastructure costs are rising 33% YoY, the company's $4.55B cash position and deeply integrated product create a defensible competitive position that justifies current valuation relative to growth trajectory.

At post $230.05Now $269.65+17.2% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET

1d—

3d+0.3%

1w-0.1%

1m+23.2%

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

End of results.