| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | -8.3% | -8.3% |
| 3d | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0% | +6.0% | +6.2% |
| 1w | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +5.3% | +8.6% |
| 1m | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | +1.3% | +1.4% |
| 3m | 4 | 4 | 4 | 100% | -20.3% | -20.4% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author has added puts on RKLB as part of a broader bearish positioning strategy (alongside SOXX shorts/puts). The post implies expectation of price decline this week.
Oil prices are being ignored by the market and will see deterioration. Author plans to short USO via put options if prices hit $150, betting on a pullback in energy prices.
Semiconductor sector has rallied excessively and will revert lower. Combined with deteriorating macro signals (OpenAI missing revenue targets, rising oil prices), SOXL shorts via put options are positioned to profit as the market reprices semis downward.
Author is shorting SOXL, following the lead of Michael Burry who shorted the underlying SOXX semiconductor index. The position implies a bearish bet on semiconductor stocks.
End of results.