Archive mode — the ledger is frozen as of August 24, 2026. Past calls and track records remain browsable; no new data is being ingested.
u/SupervisoryEffect
2 theses · first seen May 25, 2026
| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | +12.1% | +12.1% |
| 1m | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | +45.2% | +45.2% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | +21.4% | +21.4% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Thesis history
Kevin Warsh = Worse Than Hitler
Kevin Warsh's opaque Fed policy and refusal to provide market guidance increases economic unpredictability, which will trigger risk-off behavior from institutional investors and trigger a severe market recession given the current market's dependence on AI-driven gains.
At post $747.03·Now $763.69+2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+1.4%
1w+3.5%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
“took all the money that I made from door dash ($4100) and decided to short this fuck ass company”
Shorting this dumbass company (INTEL)
Intel is inflated on vague promises and bankruptcy rumors; the author shorted the company after its recent 25% pump, believing the stock lacks fundamental value and will fall.
At post $82.54·Now $87.16+5.6% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+3.0%
1w+20.7%
1m+45.2%
3m+21.4%
6m—
1y—