| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 5 | 5 | 5 | 100% | +3.0% | +2.8% |
| 1w | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +1.9% | +2.3% |
| 1m | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +6.1% | +8.8% |
| 3m | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80% | +5.6% | +10.7% |
| 6m | 5 | 5 | 3 | 60% | +2.0% | +7.8% |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
NextEra Energy is the largest US renewable developer with sufficient scale (30GW backlog) to power the AI data center boom while maintaining regulated utility safety. Confirmed 10% dividend growth and PPAs from hyperscalers (Google/Microsoft) provide 2026 growth catalysts.
Capital One's Discover acquisition creates a closed-loop system (issuer + network) that bypasses Visa/Mastercard fees and captures full transaction margins. The realization of $2.7B in synergies is the 2026 catalyst, even if regulatory approval is unlikely.
L3Harris is a trusted disruptor focused on high-growth defense tech (space, cyber, comms) rather than legacy manufacturing, benefiting from increased defense budget allocation. The planned Q2026 spin-off of Missile Solutions unlocks shareholder value and leaves a leaner, higher-margin core.
Fluor has de-risked its backlog with 82% reimbursable contracts, is the primary builder for hyperscaler data centers, and benefits from the SMR/nuclear renaissance. Share buybacks through Feb 2026 and monetization of its NuScale stake provide near-term catalysts.
Ferrari trades like a luxury brand (Hermès) rather than an auto manufacturer, with a fully sold-out order book through 2026 and pricing power immune to macro conditions. Lewis Hamilton's second season and the imminent EV launch are expected to drive momentum.
End of results.