u/apemonkeyfool

1 thesis · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d1100%+3.6%+3.6%
3d1100%+4.1%+4.1%
1w1100%+3.4%+3.4%
1m000———
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$ADBEr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish
u/apemonkeyfool · 17d agono track record yet
Long ADBE $150P exp Mar 19 · 50 contracts

ADOBE is cooked.

Adobe faces existential competition from free or cheap AI-powered alternatives, open-source clones like ArtCraft achieving feature parity, and generative AI making traditional editing workflows obsolete. Core metrics show deterioration (net new ARR down 37% YoY, RPO declining, organic growth ~9%), and while enterprise workflows remain defensible, individual users (students, freelancers) are already abandoning the $70/month subscription.

At post $232.77Now $263.82+13.3% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET
1d+3.6%
3d+4.1%
1w+3.4%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.