Archive mode — the ledger is frozen as of August 24, 2026. Past calls and track records remain browsable; no new data is being ingested.
u/callsonreddit
4 theses · first seen May 25, 2026
| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +3.4% | +2.9% |
| 1w | 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +9.1% | +9.9% |
| 1m | 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +46.7% | +48.9% |
| 3m | 4 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +27.0% | +27.3% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Thesis history
Samsung -8.6% as 50k workers prepare 18-day strike over 15% profit share demand, $2B daily loss risk and chip output cuts
Samsung strike has mixed implications for Seagate: tight memory supply could boost HDD relative demand, but broader semiconductor slowdown and demand destruction risks offset supply gains.
At post $740.31·Now $795.01+7.4% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+1.4%
1w+9.7%
1m+39.2%
3m+31.5%
6m—
1y—
Samsung -8.6% as 50k workers prepare 18-day strike over 15% profit share demand, $2B daily loss risk and chip output cuts
Samsung strike-induced memory supply constraints will benefit Western Digital's storage products and NAND pricing environment. Supply squeeze provides near-term pricing support.
At post $458.68·Now $434.82-5.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+0.2%
1w+5.6%
1m+48.5%
3m+10.9%
6m—
1y—
Samsung -8.6% as 50k workers prepare 18-day strike over 15% profit share demand, $2B daily loss risk and chip output cuts
Samsung's production halt and potential supply shortage of memory chips will create tailwinds for SanDisk/Kioxia's NAND pricing and competitive positioning. Memory supply tightness supports SNDK pricing power.
At post $1,333.01·Now $1,483.60+11.3% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+4.5%
1w+10.9%
1m+49.4%
3m+23.1%
6m—
1y—
Samsung -8.6% as 50k workers prepare 18-day strike over 15% profit share demand, $2B daily loss risk and chip output cuts
Samsung's 18-day strike and fab warm-down will create a DRAM/NAND supply squeeze, benefiting Micron as the largest non-Korean memory producer. Supply disruption should support memory pricing and market share gains for MU.
At post $681.54·Now $913.33+34.0% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+7.4%
1w+10.2%
1m+49.8%
3m+42.6%
6m—
1y—