| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 4 | 4 | 4 | 100% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| 3d | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50% | -2.3% | -0.9% |
| 1w | 4 | 4 | 3 | 75% | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 3m | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +9.3% | +9.3% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author is betting $35k on Coherent options with confidence that the position will be profitable.
Rivian near 52-week lows presents a buying opportunity; author doubled down on existing position, betting on recovery/reversal from depressed levels.
Nike's strategic pivot back to core athletics and away from lifestyle fashion, combined with renewed focus on traditional retail (Foot Locker shelves) over DTC, will drive a turnaround. The author is positioning for significant upside on this operational reset.
Author is bullish on Tesla with +100k in options positions, including direct Tesla options and leveraged ETF calls. They expect the position to be profitable soon.
End of results.