u/grantresolve

1 thesis · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d000———
3d111100%-7.8%-7.8%
1w111100%-6.5%-6.5%
1m111100%-0.4%-0.4%
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$AMDr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish
u/grantresolve · 69d agono track record yet

AMD is way overvalued

AMD trades at 107x EV/FCF and would require unsustainable 27% annual FCF growth for a decade to justify current valuation. Despite AI's long-term potential, near-term deployment results show productivity losses, not gains; combined with increasing competition from new entrants (including Elon's chip efforts), AMD will likely see significant downside when expectations reset.

At post $506.00Now $516.79+2.1% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET
1d—
3d-7.8%
1w-6.5%
1m-0.4%
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.