| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | -0.5% | 0.0% |
| 3d | 3 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.0% | +1.6% |
| 1w | 3 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +1.2% | +2.6% |
| 1m | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0% | -12.3% | -10.6% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | -24.9% | -24.9% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
EONR is benefiting from rising oil prices (Brent crude over $100/barrel) and geopolitical tension extending past the US midterms, coupled with a new 92-well drilling program. The author draws a parallel to a prior Iran conflict spike from $0.36 to $1.50, suggesting similar upside potential.
Eon Resources announced drilling of 3 initial wells from a 92-well program expected to add $1m/month in free cash flow. The staged rollout through 2027 and beyond, combined with elevated oil prices and the stock's beaten-down valuation, presents a turnaround opportunity.
CTM is a micro-cap defense contractor with $60M market cap equal to annual revenue, 25% cash on hand, and no debt. The company is winning large multi-million dollar government contracts (NAVAIR $103M, Navy $66M and $50M 5-year deals) and transitioning into a defense tech platform, offering significant upside potential from a small valuation.
End of results.