| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 4 | 4 | 4 | 100% | +5.7% | +3.5% |
| 3d | 4 | 4 | 4 | 100% | +5.7% | +3.5% |
| 1w | 4 | 4 | 4 | 100% | +7.2% | +5.9% |
| 1m | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25% | +1.8% | -1.0% |
| 3m | 4 | 4 | 3 | 75% | -3.4% | +15.4% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Long call position betting on Salesforce earnings beat to drive upside; undervalued at current levels with depressed sentiment creating favorable risk-reward for Jan 2028 upside.
Salesforce is down 34% YTD with depressed expectations heading into earnings, creating a high-probability setup for a positive beat to reverse the narrative around software stocks and reignite sector rotation away from semis.
CrowdStrike has recovered to all-time highs after a 37% drawdown, demonstrating resilience and potential renewed investor confidence in the software security sector.
Figma beat earnings expectations significantly and raised guidance despite prior fears about competitive threats from Claude design and Google Stitch, suggesting the AI threat was overblown and the platform defensibility is stronger than the market feared.
End of results.