u/lebanonjon27

1 thesis · first seen Jun 10, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%+9.2%+9.2%
3d111100%+4.1%+4.1%
1w1100%-0.4%-0.4%
1m1100%-3.3%-3.3%
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$SMCIDDbullish
u/lebanonjon27 · 45d agono track record yet
Long SMCI

Supermicro fumble -$200k

SMCI is transitioning from a low-margin server assembler to a high-margin AI infrastructure deployment company offering rack integration, liquid cooling, software, and lifecycle support. The $39B in recent orders and CEO guidance for revenues much exceeding $40B next year signal explosive demand; the $7B capital raise reflects supply constraints, not deteriorating fundamentals. Margin expansion into the mid-teens would validate the thesis and represent significant upside.

At post $29.27Now $30.10+2.8% since postedas of Jul 24, 4:59 PM ET
1d+9.2%
3d+4.1%
1w-0.4%
1m-3.3%
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.