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u/solacelabx

5 theses · first seen Oct 20, 2026
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$ITRIr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish
u/solacelabx · 39h ago4 prior · awaiting results

ITRI: An invisible smart grid monopoly with a $4.4B backlog, trading at 11x cash flow and a 51% margin of safety

Itron is a high-margin grid software platform disguised as a commoditized hardware maker, with a $4.4B contracted backlog, 51% cash-on-tangible-assets return, and strong switching moat. Trading at 12.9x adjusted free cash flow with a 51% margin of safety despite recent selloff driven by temporary deployment delays and intentional low-margin contract pruning.

original post →
$INTUr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish
u/solacelabx · 20d ago4 prior · awaiting results
Long INTU

INTU: The digital plumbing of 10M businesses at a 10-year valuation low (12x Adjusted FCF, ~52% Margin of Safety)

Intuit trades at a 10-year valuation low (12x Adjusted FCF) despite 78% gross margins, 21% FCF per share CAGR, and a mission-critical moat built on regulatory compliance and switching costs. Market has misinterpreted temporary seasonal weakness and AI disruption fears; the business is actually upgrading with 36% TurboTax Live growth and 99%+ retention.

At post $281.47Now $370.99+31.8% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
original post →
$BRr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish
u/solacelabx · 34d ago4 prior · awaiting results
“I hold a position in $BR”

$BR, the mandatory plumbing of global finance trading at a 34% discount to intrinsic value

Broadridge is a mission-critical financial infrastructure monopoly with 98% client retention trading at a 34% discount to intrinsic value. Despite temporary lumpiness in proxy revenues and debt concerns, the core recurring revenue engine is growing steadily with expanding margins (17.8%) and strong ROIC (19%), while the company is positioned to capture tokenized settlement market disruption rather than be disrupted by it.

original post →
$LDOSr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish
u/solacelabx · 35d ago4 prior · awaiting results
“I hold a position in $LDOS”

LDOS, a government IT toll bridge with a $47B backlog, trading at a 38% discount to intrinsic value

Leidos is trading at a 38% discount to intrinsic value, supported by a durable government IT business with massive switching costs, a $47B backlog, structurally expanding margins (8.4% to 11.8%), and exceptional capital discipline including aggressive buybacks. Near-term headwinds like the VA contract recompete and recent Entrust debt are temporary overhangs masking a franchise trading at 0th percentile valuation (12.2x adjusted FCF) with 16.4% FCF-per-share growth.

At post $129.35Now $138.69+7.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
original post →
$CAAPr/ValueInvestingAI-Written Contentbullish
u/solacelabx · 36d ago4 prior · awaiting results
“I hold a position”

CAAP, an irreplaceable toll bridge of 52 international airports trading at a 53% margin of safety

CAAP operates 52 monopolistic airport concessions with dollar-linked tariffs and high-margin commercial revenues, trading at 9.66x adjusted free cash flow despite strong fundamentals. The market has irrationally discounted the stock due to Argentina macro concerns, missing the structural durability of these infrastructure assets and management's proven capital discipline—the stock offers a 53% margin of safety at current levels.

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End of results.