| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +11.6% | +11.6% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.2% | +10.2% |
| 1m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only.
The author draws a parallel between current retail enthusiasm for a newly-launched AI ETF and the irrational exuberance that preceded the dotcom bubble collapse. The implied thesis is that this speculative retail buying is unsustainable and likely to end badly.
Author expected INOD to replicate DDOG's recent performance surge and bought 3 option contracts, turning $210 into $6100. The rapid 29x gain suggests the position benefited from significant upside movement.
End of results.