Archive mode — the ledger is frozen as of August 24, 2026. Past calls and track records remain browsable; no new data is being ingested.
u/tabrizzi
2 theses · first seen May 25, 2026
| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +11.6% | +11.6% |
| 1w | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +10.2% | +10.2% |
| 1m | 2 | 2 | 1 | 50% | +32.1% | +32.1% |
| 3m | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | -3.3% | -3.3% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Thesis history
Retail Euphoria Turns Six-Week Fund Into Record-Busting AI Trade
The author draws a parallel between current retail enthusiasm for a newly-launched AI ETF and the irrational exuberance that preceded the dotcom bubble collapse. The implied thesis is that this speculative retail buying is unsustainable and likely to end badly.
At post $49.32·Now $54.24+10.0% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+0.9%
1w+7.1%
1m+44.1%
3m+16.2%
6m—
1y—
“3 contracts”
$210 to $6100
Author expected INOD to replicate DDOG's recent performance surge and bought 3 option contracts, turning $210 into $6100. The rapid 29x gain suggests the position benefited from significant upside movement.
At post $84.89·Now $58.02-31.6% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d—
3d+22.3%
1w+13.2%
1m+20.1%
3m-22.9%
6m—
1y—