| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 3d | 10 | 9 | 7 | 78% | +2.8% | +2.7% |
| 1w | 10 | 9 | 8 | 89% | +3.4% | +2.8% |
| 1m | 10 | 9 | 7 | 78% | +11.1% | +7.5% |
| 3m | 10 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +4.4% | +8.9% |
| 6m | 10 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +16.9% | -2.6% |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
CEO and chief concept officer bought after 30% decline driven by slowing same-store sales. First-ever insider purchases by both suggest conviction in long-term value despite near-term weakness.
President and director bought after 30% drop caused by net loss and distribution challenges. First insider purchases since 2019 suggest management sees value after significant decline.
CEO, GC, and CAO bought after 30% decline from missed earnings and delayed government contracts. However, recent insider buying in 2025 has gone poorly, suggesting limited predictive power in this case.
CEO bought $200k after 30% decline due to lower customer bookings. First insider purchase since 2023 and first-ever by CEO suggests management believes value exists after pullback.
CEO, CFO, EVP, and director all bought after 35% drop caused by slower new product adoption. Cluster buying by multiple executives is historically the highest alpha signal for insider purchases.
CFO bought $478k after 40% decline following missed guidance and consumer weakness concerns. First-ever insider purchase signals management confidence despite near-term headwinds.
CEO bought $300k worth after 40% drop driven by double earnings miss and guidance cut. First insider purchase since mid-2024 suggests management sees value after sharp decline.
CEO bought after 40% decline on EPS miss and dilution concerns; first purchase since 2022 signals potential value opportunity. Insider dip buys historically average 35% annual returns.
CEO and director bought after 50% drop due to SaaS revenue deceleration and EPS miss. Multiple insider dip purchases are historically correlated with significant outperformance.
CEO, CFO, and director bought after 50% one-month decline caused by production ramp issues. Insider dip purchases historically outperform with 35% average annual returns and 62% win rate.
End of results.