u/willbabu

4 theses · first seen May 25, 2026

Window	Theses	Resolved	Wins	Win rate	Avg return	Median return
1d	3	3	2	67%	+2.0%	+4.1%
3d	4	4	2	50%	+1.4%	-0.5%
1w	4	4	2	50%	+7.4%	+5.9%
1m	0	0	0	—	—	—
3m	0	0	0	—	—	—
6m	0	0	0	—	—	—
1y	0	0	0	—	—	—

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only.

Thesis history

$MUDiscussionbullish

u/willbabu · 9d ago

Short MU $500P exp Jun 27 · 10 contracts

MU short put play - 93.5k premium for obligation to buy MU at $500

Micron is positioned for near-term upside into June earnings, with the author deploying a short put spread (10 x $500 puts expiring 6/27) to capture 30-50% premium over weeks. The trade combines asymmetric earnings-driven upside optionality with a deliberate long entry point at $500 if assigned, where the author is comfortable owning shares given the company's earnings trajectory.

1d+4.1%

3d+2.6%

1w+26.8%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MUDiscussionbullish

u/willbabu · 17d ago

Long 1300 shares of MU

MU is the cleanest play on the imminent Samsung strike

Samsung's imminent 18-day strike will cause spot DRAM and NAND prices to spike while MU maintains production. With SK's inventory locked in long-term contracts, MU gains negotiating leverage in 2027 contract talks and captures spot pricing uplift. MU's US-based fabs and higher DRAM/NAND flex position it to gain market share during the supply crunch.

1d+4.8%

3d-5.5%

1w-8.8%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MUDiscussionbullish

u/willbabu · 20d ago

Long 1300 shares of MU

MU is on fire with room to run

Micron is experiencing a supply-constrained memory cycle with sold-out HBM inventory through 2026 and demand from hyperscalers (NVDA, AAPL, AVGO, MSFT, META, AMZN) far exceeding supply. Strong earnings beat (33% above guidance), massive revenue growth (196% YoY), and forced index buying post-SP500 inclusion suggest the rally has room to run into June earnings.

1d—

3d-3.6%

1w-8.9%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

$MUDiscussionbullish

u/willbabu · 24d ago

Long 1300 shares of MU

MU is just heating up

Micron (MU) has been irrationally undervalued as a cyclical stock despite major tailwinds from AI adoption, data center buildouts, and severe memory shortages benefiting the company. As institutional investors rotate into the stock and short positions unwind, MU is entering a strong uptrend with significant upside potential toward $1500 by end of year.

1d-3.0%

3d+12.0%

1w+20.6%

1m—

3m—

6m—

1y—

original post →

End of results.