$FWRG

2 theses
bullish 100%neutral 0%bearish 0%
Avg return (1m)
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Win rate (1m)
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

$FWRGr/wallstreetbetsDDbullish
u/gregw134 · 51d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Long FWRG

$500k on First Watch ($FWRG)

First Watch is a high-quality, fast-growing breakfast concept trading at a 10x EV/EBITDA multiple despite generating $80M annual free cash flow and 18-20% profit margins with a 35% ROI on new store builds. With only 650 stores versus 1,600+ for competitors, significant geographic whitespace, and operating leverage as it scales, the company can compound at 15%+ annually for decades, making current valuation extremely attractive relative to fundamentals and analyst price targets around $21.

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$FWRGr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/gregw134 · 51d ago1 prior · awaiting results

First Watch ($FWRG), why Cracker Barrel Changed its Logo

First Watch is a high-quality breakfast concept competing on style rather than price, with 18-20% restaurant margins and 10-12% annual growth. The stock trades at an apparent P/E of 40 but closer to 10x on normalized growth, offering 25% annual upside over 10 years if current unit economics hold, with upcoming investor presentations as near-term catalyst for rerating.

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End of results.