| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| 3d | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -1.3% | -1.0% |
| 1w | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | -4.0% | -3.8% |
| 1m | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -3.5% | -3.2% |
| 3m | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40% | -1.3% | -0.9% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Recent dilution news has been overblown. The author expects Google to bounce back and rally to $380+, implying near-term upside from current levels.
Gold calls positioned for a rally on FOMC news and Iran ceasefire developments. Premiums are attractive and the longer expiry date provides sufficient runway for a move higher.
Trump's stated interest in drone companies provides a catalyst for Kratos, which has a strong backlog of orders and contracts. The stock has bottomed and is recovering; the author expects upside over the next few weeks.
Author bought SPY on recent dips and closed positions for significant gains (3K to 16.5K), indicating confidence in near-term upside after market weakness.
Author closed SPY puts and reallocated the gains into MU, indicating a bullish view on Micron. The move suggests confidence in MU's upside relative to broader market hedges.
End of results.