u/DoctorVictors

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%-1.8%-1.8%
3d111100%-3.5%-3.5%
1w111100%-4.7%-4.7%
1m000
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$AMZNr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/DoctorVictors · 28d agono track record yet
Long AMZN

Amazon: everything lies in the margins

Amazon is currently overvalued despite being a high-quality business with strong infrastructure and logistics advantages. The author's DCF models show extreme sensitivity to operating margin assumptions (20-30% margins produce valuations from $150-$255), and believes the company cannot realistically achieve both 3x revenue growth and 30% margins, making current pricing unsustainable.

At post $272.27Now $256.97-5.6% since postedas of Sep 8, 4:30 PM ET
1d-1.8%
3d-3.5%
1w-4.7%
1m
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.