u/Rare_Piano_1369

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d111100%-0.3%-0.3%
3d111100%-1.3%-1.3%
1w111100%-3.6%-3.6%
1m000
3m000
6m000
1y000

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NVDAr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/Rare_Piano_1369 · 20d agono track record yet

Nvidia's customer concentration went from 0% to 61% in four years, right as it agreed to insure 25% of its own customers' loans. Breaking down what the filings and credit markets actually show.

Nvidia's customer concentration jumped from 0% to 61% in four years, with three of the four largest customers (Google, Amazon, Meta) actively building competing chips. The $500B financing deal where Nvidia backstops 25% of collateral losses mirrors late-90s telecom equipment financing structures that preceded major writedowns, suggesting the market is mispricing execution risk despite credit markets already pricing in concern.

At post $217.56Now $225.73+3.8% since postedas of Sep 8, 4:30 PM ET
1d-0.3%
3d-1.3%
1w-3.6%
1m
3m
6m
1y
original post →

End of results.