The most unnecessarily autistic thing I’ve ever built.
NVDA appears lagging in dark pool-weighted relative rotation analysis, suggesting weakening institutional interest and momentum relative to the tech sector.
1d-1.5%
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$NVDA
14 thesesbullish 64%neutral 7%bearish 29%
Avg return (3m)
+7.9%
Win rate (3m)
50% (2 resolved)
Recent theses
Short NVDA
The Capex Unwind Thesis 2027 - 2028
The AI capex boom will unwind in 2027–2028 as profitability pressures force LLM providers to optimize efficiency, reducing compute demand. NVDA faces additional headwinds from ASIC competition, customer concentration (3 customers = 54% of revenue), and China's pivot to domestic alternatives, making it the primary victim of the capex cycle collapse.
1d—
3d-1.1%
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3m—
6m—
1y—
Am I the only one confused about why NVIDIA crushed earnings and the stock still went red? And whats with the big jump in Dividend 👍
NVIDIA delivered record Q1 FY27 results with $81.6B revenue (up 85% YoY), $58.3B net income (up 211% YoY), and $91B Q2 guidance well above expectations. Data Center revenue surged 92% YoY to $75.2B, gross margins expanded to 74.9%, and the company initiated an $80B buyback while raising dividends 25x, signaling management confidence despite near-term stock underperformance due to already-priced perfection.
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“major FOMO feeling today and wanted to buy a 30dte call spread on NVDA today... I fapped and decided to inverse myself”
Enough is enough fk u quantum/space regards making money - top is in
NVDA has experienced an insane run driven by FOMO chasing and institutionalization, but the market has already priced in unrealistic growth (80% earnings growth, massive capex acceleration). With weaker momentum at the 7500 technical level and all good news already baked in, a significant correction is imminent.
1d—
3d—
1w-1.9%
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3m—
6m—
1y—
“600k yolo”
NVDA earnings 600k yolo
Author is making a large $600k YOLO bet on NVDA ahead of earnings, implying bullish conviction on a significant price move or positive earnings outcome.
1d-1.8%
3d-3.6%
1w-4.9%
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“calls”
Yolo'd $NVDA calls. I know it dumped the last couple of earning but anyone else buying calls?
Despite recent earnings disappointments, the author is confident enough in near-term upside to allocate a significant portion of recent trading profits into call options on NVDA.
1d+1.3%
3d-2.4%
1w-2.4%
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1y—
“Bought these as a levered directional play for the earnings run up”
Nvidia Calls +1100% Gain
Author executed a leveraged directional call options trade ahead of earnings, achieving a +1100% return by playing an upside move in the stock. The thesis reflects a bullish directional bet on NVDA executed as a short-term catalyst play.
1d-4.4%
3d-4.4%
1w-6.9%
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3m—
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Long NVDA
OpenAI expects over half of all internet users will be active on its platform by 2030.
Long-term secular demand from AI will support Nvidia valuation despite near-term energy cost uncertainties. Author holds 50k accumulated from Covid-era lows.
1d+2.3%
3d+2.1%
1w-0.1%
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Long NVDA $220C exp May 11
$15k in 15 mins with NQ futures and NVDA 220c 5/11
Author expected NVDA to reach new all-time highs and bought 220 calls with 5/11 expiry, taking profits on the opening green candle. The bullish thesis was validated by the successful short-term trade.
1d+0.6%
3d+7.4%
1w+1.3%
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6m—
1y—
“NVDA calls”
Up 250k in the last month from 17k initial… INTC AMD 90% of what I played.
Author holds a good bit of NVDA calls as part of a semiconductor-focused portfolio that generated significant gains.
1d—
3d+0.6%
1w+2.7%
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Amazon's Chip Business Is Bigger Than AMD, Could Soon Pass Broadcom, Intel
The post frames a comparative choice between betting on chip designers (NVDA) versus chip owners (AMZN), implying NVDA may face headwinds as large cloud providers reduce reliance on external GPU suppliers through in-house silicon.
1d+1.8%
3d+3.5%
1w+8.7%
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Long NVDA $220C · 13 contracts
NVDA $235+ by May 22
Author holds 13 contracts of $220 strike calls expiring two days after May earnings, citing unusually high open interest (53k contracts, 13x average) on $235 calls as confirmation of bullish thesis. Expects NVDA to trade above $235 by expiration.
1d-1.0%
3d+6.6%
1w+10.6%
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1y—
What a crazy trap set for all $NVDA bulls
Nvidia bull positions are being caught in a trap as the Nasdaq has tumbled 600 points following Nvidia results, indicating a major reversal for bullish investors who were caught off-guard by the market weakness.
1d-1.0%
3d-1.0%
1w-0.2%
1m+0.2%
3m+4.1%
6m+22.1%
1y—
“options scalping strategy, near or at-the-money calls 2-5 months out”
$1.4m --> $5.4m in 18 Months - 85% in Cash Now
Author consistently profited from scalping NVDA options, using near or at-the-money calls 2-5 months out. Strategy exploits pullbacks for 20-50% gains.
1d—
3d+4.0%
1w+5.1%
1m+11.0%
3m+11.6%
6m+12.8%
1y—
End of results.