Archive mode — the ledger is frozen as of August 24, 2026. Past calls and track records remain browsable; no new data is being ingested.

$NVDA

22 theses
bullish 68%neutral 5%bearish 27%
Avg return (6m)
+17.5%
Win rate (6m)
50% (2 resolved)

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
$NVDAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish
u/Adrian-The-Great · 10d agono track record yet

NVDA grew revenue 85% and the stock rose 22%. Micron rose 725%. I think the interesting question is what you're actually buying at 21x.

NVIDIA's 21x valuation appears stretched when accounting for earnings quality. Unrealized gains on private equity stakes inflate reported earnings, high customer concentration (36% from two customers) poses risk, and $95bn in forward purchase commitments become liabilities if AI spending growth stalls. Share losses to competitors (Broadcom, Google TPUs) combined with decelerating hyperscaler capex could turn commitments from a moat into a problem.

Now $209.31as of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
original post →
$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/two_beers_left · 62d ago1 prior · awaiting results
$800k worth of NVDA at the top last Friday

Sorry for tanking the semi conductor market, i bought $800k worth of NVDA at the top last Friday

Author purchased $800k of NVDA at a market top on Friday, implying the stock has declined since entry and suggesting poor timing on a large position at an unfavorable price.

At post $197.58Now $209.31+5.9% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-1.4%
3d-1.4%
1w+3.3%
1m+1.6%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDDbullish
u/GrokkingTroika · 63d agono track record yet

The Nightcrawler Challenge Pt.1: When the market offers you free money, you take it (NVDA)

NVDA is a short-term buy at current levels due to convergence of catalysts and historical precedent of buyers swarming when price dips to these levels. The author expects a quick recovery driven by incoming volatility and past patterns.

At post $200.09Now $209.31+4.6% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-1.3%
3d-2.6%
1w-1.6%
1m-2.5%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Zealousideal_Book_40 · 82d ago3 prior · awaiting results
Bull call spread on NVDA

NVDA is my future

NVDA is undervalued given 80% revenue growth YoY. Author is levered long via 3x 320/420c call spreads (Sep 2027 expiry), betting on longer-dated upside.

At post $204.87Now $209.31+2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+2.8%
1m+3.0%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Zealousideal_Book_40 · 82d ago3 prior · awaiting results
Bull call spread on NVDA

NVDA is my future

NVDA is undervalued given 80% revenue growth YoY. Author is levered long via 20x 210/215c call spreads (Nov expiry), betting on near-term upside.

At post $204.87Now $209.31+2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+2.8%
1m+3.0%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Zealousideal_Book_40 · 82d ago3 prior · awaiting results
Long NVDA $230C exp Jan 21 · 1 contract

NVDA is my future

NVDA is undervalued given 80% revenue growth YoY. Author is levered long via 1x 230c 1/21/28 call, betting on sustained upside with a Jan 2028 expiry.

At post $204.87Now $209.31+2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+2.8%
1m+3.0%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Zealousideal_Book_40 · 82d ago3 prior · awaiting results
Long 59 shares of NVDA

NVDA is my future

NVDA is undervalued given 80% revenue growth YoY. Author is levered long via 59 shares, multiple call spreads (210/215c Nov, 320/420c Sep '27), and a 230c Jan 2028 call, betting on continued upside.

At post $204.87Now $209.31+2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+2.8%
1m+3.0%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/DeltaVx_ · 89d agono track record yet
likely still be long 1300 shares tomorrow morning

I messed up again— “best of luck to you” - Schwab Risk Management Team

Author will be long ~1300 shares of NVDA due to pin risk from assignment and needs the stock to hold above $215 and not fall more than 6% to avoid significant losses. Bullish on NVDA's ability to stay above this level overnight.

At post $214.50Now $209.31-2.4% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+1.8%
3d-4.4%
1w-6.6%
1m-9.2%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish
u/Shtonky · 96d ago2 prior · awaiting results

The most unnecessarily autistic thing I’ve ever built.

NVDA appears lagging in dark pool-weighted relative rotation analysis, suggesting weakening institutional interest and momentum relative to the tech sector.

At post $214.00Now $209.31-2.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-1.5%
3d-1.5%
1w+2.1%
1m-10.0%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish
u/Karzov · 100d ago2 prior · awaiting results
Short NVDA

The Capex Unwind Thesis 2027 - 2028

The AI capex boom will unwind in 2027–2028 as profitability pressures force LLM providers to optimize efficiency, reducing compute demand. NVDA faces additional headwinds from ASIC competition, customer concentration (3 customers = 54% of revenue), and China's pivot to domestic alternatives, making it the primary victim of the capex cycle collapse.

At post $214.61Now $209.31-2.5% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
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3d-1.1%
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1m-6.8%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish
u/Alpha_Stock_BigBull · 101d agono track record yet

Am I the only one confused about why NVIDIA crushed earnings and the stock still went red? And whats with the big jump in Dividend 👍

NVIDIA delivered record Q1 FY27 results with $81.6B revenue (up 85% YoY), $58.3B net income (up 211% YoY), and $91B Q2 guidance well above expectations. Data Center revenue surged 92% YoY to $75.2B, gross margins expanded to 74.9%, and the company initiated an $80B buyback while raising dividends 25x, signaling management confidence despite near-term stock underperformance due to already-priced perfection.

At post $214.61Now $209.31-2.5% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish
u/iloveaccounting64 · 102d ago4 prior · 0% at 3mo
major FOMO feeling today and wanted to buy a 30dte call spread on NVDA today... I fapped and decided to inverse myself

Enough is enough fk u quantum/space regards making money - top is in

NVDA has experienced an insane run driven by FOMO chasing and institutionalization, but the market has already priced in unrealistic growth (80% earnings growth, massive capex acceleration). With weaker momentum at the 7500 technical level and all good news already baked in, a significant correction is imminent.

At post $215.08Now $209.31-2.7% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
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1w-1.9%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Administrative_Rub34 · 104d agono track record yet
600k yolo

NVDA earnings 600k yolo

Author is making a large $600k YOLO bet on NVDA ahead of earnings, implying bullish conviction on a significant price move or positive earnings outcome.

At post $223.21Now $209.31-6.2% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-1.8%
3d-3.6%
1w-4.9%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Bossbrad64 · 105d agono track record yet
calls

Yolo'd $NVDA calls. I know it dumped the last couple of earning but anyone else buying calls?

Despite recent earnings disappointments, the author is confident enough in near-term upside to allocate a significant portion of recent trading profits into call options on NVDA.

At post $220.35Now $209.31-5.0% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+1.3%
3d-2.4%
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1m-4.4%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish
u/wallstreetstonks · 110d ago2 prior · 0% at 3mo
Bought these as a levered directional play for the earnings run up

Nvidia Calls +1100% Gain

Author executed a leveraged directional call options trade ahead of earnings, achieving a +1100% return by playing an upside move in the stock. The thesis reflects a bullish directional bet on NVDA executed as a short-term catalyst play.

At post $235.47Now $209.31-11.1% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-4.4%
3d-4.4%
1w-6.9%
1m-12.9%
3m-4.8%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsNewsbullish
u/Miramarmechanic · 111d ago4 prior · 40% at 3mo
Long NVDA

OpenAI expects over half of all internet users will be active on its platform by 2030.

Long-term secular demand from AI will support Nvidia valuation despite near-term energy cost uncertainties. Author holds 50k accumulated from Covid-era lows.

At post $220.52Now $209.31-5.1% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+2.3%
3d+2.1%
1w-0.1%
1m-7.1%
3m-1.3%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish
u/USSZim · 113d agono track record yet
Long NVDA $220C exp May 11

$15k in 15 mins with NQ futures and NVDA 220c 5/11

Author expected NVDA to reach new all-time highs and bought 220 calls with 5/11 expiry, taking profits on the opening green candle. The bullish thesis was validated by the successful short-term trade.

At post $219.18Now $209.31-4.5% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d+0.6%
3d+7.4%
1w+1.3%
1m-8.6%
3m+2.2%
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish
u/_JW_1isMVP · 115d ago2 prior · 67% at 3mo
NVDA calls

Up 250k in the last month from 17k initial… INTC AMD 90% of what I played.

Author holds a good bit of NVDA calls as part of a semiconductor-focused portfolio that generated significant gains.

At post $219.18Now $209.31-4.5% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionneutral
u/Past-Collection-4291 · 118d ago1 prior · 100% at 3mo

Amazon's Chip Business Is Bigger Than AMD, Could Soon Pass Broadcom, Intel

The post frames a comparative choice between betting on chip designers (NVDA) versus chip owners (AMZN), implying NVDA may face headwinds as large cloud providers reduce reliance on external GPU suppliers through in-house silicon.

At post $207.59Now $209.31+0.8% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
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$NVDAr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbullish
u/Thicthor96 · 119d agono track record yet
Long NVDA $220C · 13 contracts

NVDA $235+ by May 22

Author holds 13 contracts of $220 strike calls expiring two days after May earnings, citing unusually high open interest (53k contracts, 13x average) on $235 calls as confirmation of bullish thesis. Expects NVDA to trade above $235 by expiration.

At post $198.25Now $209.31+5.6% since postedas of Aug 24, 1:28 PM ET
1d-1.0%
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original post →