| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 3d | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0% | -2.7% | -2.4% |
| 1w | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40% | -2.2% | -0.9% |
| 1m | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20% | -2.1% | -9.2% |
| 3m | 3 | 3 | 2 | 67% | +4.4% | +0.5% |
| 6m | 3 | 3 | 3 | 100% | +19.1% | +21.2% |
| 1y | 3 | 3 | 1 | 33% | +26.7% | -0.3% |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Netflix is undervalued at 20x forward P/E despite US market maturity, with significant upside potential from ads monetization not yet maximized and strong emerging-market subscriber growth across South America, Asia, and Africa. Share buybacks provide downside support.
CSGP is trading at a steep discount (1/3 of year-ago price) on an 11.7B market cap with 3B in net cash. The core CoStar terminal business generates reliable cash flows, and if the CEO stops burning cash on the failing Zillow competitor, the company could generate 600M+ in net income and trade at a significant premium.
Market weakness creates a buying opportunity in MSFT as a value play. The author is considering adding shares during the downturn.
Market weakness creates a buying opportunity in GOOG as a value play. The author is considering adding shares during the downturn.
Market weakness creates a buying opportunity in AMZN as a value play. The author plans to load up on shares as prices decline.
End of results.