u/Tallwhitedude123

1 thesis · first seen Oct 20, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d000———
3d1100%+1.4%+1.4%
1w111100%-1.5%-1.5%
1m000———
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$NVDAr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbearish
u/Tallwhitedude123 · 8d agono track record yet

Why NVDA is HIGH RISK and not even close to a value

NVDA has 25% of 2028 forward revenue dependent on vendor financing with high-risk cloud companies (like CRWV) whose borrowing costs are spiking to 15% yields. NVDA is ultimately on the hook if these companies fail, and this mirrors Lucent's circular financing collapse during the dot-com bubble. Additionally, hyperscalers are actively diversifying away from NVDA and developing alternative software to counter CUDA, exposing NVDA to structural revenue risk.

At post $214.13Now $210.96-1.5% since postedas of Oct 23, 4:45 PM ET
1d—
3d+1.4%
1w-1.5%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.