u/banaca4

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
WindowThesesResolvedWinsWin rateAvg returnMedian return
1d000———
3d111100%+0.4%+0.4%
1w1100%-2.0%-2.0%
1m1100%-6.2%-6.2%
3m000———
6m000———
1y000———

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$CRWVr/wallstreetbetsDDbullish
u/banaca4 · 37d agono track record yet

$CRWV: Either a Financing Disaster or the Purest Leveraged Bet on AI Compute Scarcity

CoreWeave represents a leveraged bet on persistent compute scarcity in AI. If frontier AI continues improving and lenders finance infrastructure based on residual re-leasing value, a flywheel of scarce compute → higher contract prices → cheaper financing → more capacity could drive 54% CAGR returns by 2031, though the thesis fails if compute supply catches up, GPU economics deteriorate faster than expected, or operating margins never overcome massive debt service.

At post $82.98Now $61.12-26.3% since postedas of Oct 19, 4:30 PM ET
1d—
3d+0.4%
1w-2.0%
1m-6.2%
3m—
6m—
1y—
original post →

End of results.