| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 7 | 7 | 5 | 71% | -9.9% | -4.6% |
| 3d | 8 | 8 | 5 | 63% | -9.3% | -4.0% |
| 1w | 8 | 8 | 4 | 50% | -9.7% | -0.3% |
| 1m | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80% | -16.4% | -11.1% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | -63.5% | -63.5% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Gas prices remain elevated, driving high-margin in-store purchases at Casey's General Stores, supporting bullish options positioning for a near-term move higher.
Author is bullish on BMNR, deploying $26,000 into call options expiring 9/11 at the $25 strike, betting on upside movement in the BitMine stock.
Author is bearish on NVDA and has entered a $30,000 position in $225 strike puts expiring 8/28, betting against recent call-driven rallies. The thesis is directionally bearish with significant risk capital committed.
Author was short puts on MRNA expecting stock weakness from offering news, closing the position at open after the announcement manifested. Betting against FOMO bidders post-offering.
Author is bullish on NVDA ahead of earnings, citing Michael Burry's call position as validation. The $50k YOLO into call options implies confidence in near-term upside before expiry.
A widespread food contamination event (dirty lettuce) is causing mass illness across the country, which should drive increased demand for hygiene and sanitation products, benefiting Clorox.
PPG is trading down without fundamental justification. Upcoming late-July earnings should beat expectations, driving a recovery. The author is bullish on $120 calls expiring 8/7 as a play on post-earnings upside.
Author is shorting Humana via put options expiring July 24 at $375 strike for $62,000, suggesting expectation of significant downside due to current deteriorating fundamentals.
Author executed a YOLO call position on Micron ahead of earnings, betting on upside movement. Position showed near 100% unrealized gains at market open, indicating bullish conviction on the stock post-earnings.
Author is betting on a decline in CAR stock via put options expiring May 22, implying expectation of negative catalysts such as an equity offering or broader market weakness.
End of results.