| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 19 | 19 | 12 | 63% | -3.8% | -1.0% |
| 3d | 24 | 24 | 13 | 54% | -4.3% | -2.6% |
| 1w | 21 | 21 | 11 | 52% | -4.2% | +0.2% |
| 1m | 13 | 13 | 8 | 62% | -3.4% | -1.2% |
| 3m | 5 | 5 | 2 | 40% | -19.4% | -9.5% |
| 6m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | -76.9% | -76.9% |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author opened 1DTE call options on Micron late in the trading session, expecting a sharp intraday pump tomorrow morning to achieve a 250% gain target before market close.
Author achieved a gain on 10/23 expiration $640 calls, indicating bullish conviction on Seagate.
Author is holding 0dte (zero days to expiration) $880 calls on Micron, opened late Friday with a realized gain, expressing bullish conviction despite weekend anxiety about an upcoming turbulent trading session.
Author is short puts on TSLA ahead of earnings, betting on volatility or that the stock stays above $380 by the 10/7 expiry, implying confidence in stock price stability or upside.
Author executed a profitable short put trade at $33 strike expiry, positioning for further downside toward sub-$30 levels. Suggests momentum for Nike's decline continues.
Author executed a successful 0DTE call option trade on SeaGate (STX), capitalizing on what they viewed as forced selling at market open. The position realized gains.
Nike is a decaying brand and value trap; author is long a put position betting on downside move before October expiration.
Author is making a large bullish bet on Micron through $1,080 call options expiring 10/2, suggesting confidence in significant upside and positioning themselves aggressively in the semiconductor space.
Author took a bullish position on RIVN through short-dated call options, betting on upside movement to the $15 strike. The early exit suggests a profitable trade before further gains or potential reversal.
Author has entered out-of-the-money calls expiring on 10/2 with a $260 strike, anticipating a near-term gap-up move to close the position profitably.
Author was bullish on ZS and traded intraday/weekly call options at the $195 strike expiring 10/2, closing the position for a gain.
Author sold CASY 10/16 $620 calls at intra-day highs after doubling down during the early session sell-off, capturing the pump for a gain.
Author profited from put options on PANW after a price decline driven by analyst downgrade. The position benefited from the stock moving down toward the strike price.
Bullish bet on Casey's General Stores with 60 contracts of 9/18 $620 strike calls. The position is positioned to profit from upside move in the stock.
CASY is a gas station chain that will benefit from elevated pump prices driving consumer markup purchases as a form of self-harm spending. The author is betting on upside with September 11 calls at the $740 strike.
Author is bullish on BMNR following a recent profitable trade, deploying $26,000 into call options with a 9/11 expiry and $25 strike to capture further upside.
Author YOLOs $30,000 into NVDA put options at $225 strike expiring 8/28, betting on downside and warning against FOMO buyers chasing calls.
MRNA sold off sharply on rumors of an offering that materialized. Author is closing a put position at open, implying the move down has already occurred and profit is being taken.
Bullish bet on NVDA into near-term expiry via call options. Author expects upside move toward or beyond the $217.5 strike by late August, citing precedent of even value investors like Michael Burry playing similar call positions.
A widespread food contamination event (dirty lettuce) is causing mass illness across the country, which should drive increased demand for hygiene and sanitation products, benefiting Clorox.