u/the_axe_effect

1 thesis · first seen Sep 4, 2026
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Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Thesis history

$GOOGLr/ValueInvestingStock Analysisbullish
u/the_axe_effect · 32h agono track record yet

My attempt at Google valuation

DCF valuation model suggests Google is trading at a 28% discount to intrinsic value (~$492B equity value) based on conservative 12% FCFE growth, accounting for $700B AI capex debt paydown over years 2-8. AI improvements in ads, cloud, and ventures support the thesis that Google can maintain historical 18% CAGR despite maturity.

At post $352.72Now $352.720.0% since postedas of Oct 12, 4:30 PM ET
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End of results.