CRSR Guy Back for Part 2. Bottom is in and AI Pivot is Real. $25k YOLO
CRSR has reached a bottom and the AI pivot narrative is real. The author sees solid risk-reward entry with depressed IV, positioning for a stock move higher from current levels.
| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 6 | 6 | 4 | 67% | +4.7% | +2.3% |
| 3d | 8 | 8 | 6 | 75% | +8.7% | +1.3% |
| 1w | 8 | 8 | 7 | 88% | +12.0% | +4.2% |
| 1m | 7 | 7 | 6 | 86% | +19.9% | +13.2% |
| 3m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +35.3% | +35.3% |
| 6m | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
CRSR has reached a bottom and the AI pivot narrative is real. The author sees solid risk-reward entry with depressed IV, positioning for a stock move higher from current levels.
CELH trades at 9x EBITDA with strong growth and market-share gains, while Monster trades at 25x with slower growth. Strong EBITDA trajectory and successful Alani NU integration position CELH for a re-rating to $50+, still at a discount to Monster's valuation multiple.
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Corsair's new AI workstations and server portfolio represents a major strategic pivot into the high-growth datacenter segment. The stock has been beaten down and could double as the market reprices the company with this AI/datacenter narrative.
Author has a strong intuition that Micron (MU) is poised for a significant move upward tomorrow, potentially +15%, with comparison to SNDK's recent 10% gain suggesting sector momentum.
Sony's 25% revenue from AI chips and sensors is underappreciated; the stock hasn't rallied as much as peers, and low IV creates a favorable risk-reward setup for upside.
Author is running MU call options with conviction after trimming a 250-call position. Expecting another 10% rally in MU stock to produce significant gains on remaining calls.
Author is heavily leveraged into AMZN call options betting on an 8% move up tomorrow. Position has substantial profit potential if realized, implying conviction in imminent upside despite recent underperformance.
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