| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 9 | 9 | 4 | 44% | +3.0% | 0.0% |
| 3d | 11 | 11 | 8 | 73% | +6.8% | +1.3% |
| 1w | 11 | 11 | 9 | 82% | +9.0% | +4.2% |
| 1m | 11 | 11 | 10 | 91% | +15.7% | +10.9% |
| 3m | 8 | 8 | 8 | 100% | +25.1% | +26.3% |
| 6m | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100% | +36.4% | +36.4% |
| 1y | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
NVDA crushed earnings and CEO Jensen delivered positive guidance at GS conference despite recent weakness. Author expects a 2-4% pop tomorrow, betting 350 short-dated contracts expiring in 2 days to capture the rebound.
NVDA will rally strongly this week as the market digests blockbuster earnings; the author is betting on upside expiration Friday.
CRSR beat Q2 earnings with 17% EBITDA guidance raise and 36% EPS guidance raise, with gross margins expanding 600bps and favorable product mix shift. Trading at 9x EV/EBITDA and 12x P/E—extremely cheap valuations—suggesting material upside to $20 per share.
CRSR has reached a bottom and the AI pivot narrative is real. The author sees solid risk-reward entry with depressed IV, positioning for a stock move higher from current levels.
CELH trades at 9x EBITDA with strong growth and market-share gains, while Monster trades at 25x with slower growth. Strong EBITDA trajectory and successful Alani NU integration position CELH for a re-rating to $50+, still at a discount to Monster's valuation multiple.
CELH trades at 9x EBITDA with strong growth and Alani Nu integration progressing, while Monster trades at 25x. As the #3 energy drink brand with fastest-in-category growth and cheapest valuation multiple, the stock should easily reach $50.
Corsair's new AI workstations and server portfolio represents a major strategic pivot into the high-growth datacenter segment. The stock has been beaten down and could double as the market reprices the company with this AI/datacenter narrative.
Author has a strong intuition that Micron (MU) is poised for a significant move upward tomorrow, potentially +15%, with comparison to SNDK's recent 10% gain suggesting sector momentum.
Sony's 25% revenue from AI chips and sensors is underappreciated; the stock hasn't rallied as much as peers, and low IV creates a favorable risk-reward setup for upside.
Author is running MU call options with conviction after trimming a 250-call position. Expecting another 10% rally in MU stock to produce significant gains on remaining calls.
Author is heavily leveraged into AMZN call options betting on an 8% move up tomorrow. Position has substantial profit potential if realized, implying conviction in imminent upside despite recent underperformance.
End of results.