Long 100 shares of TSM
Long TSM $460C exp Oct 16 · 13 contracts
TSM Earnings: 0-2 So Far, Surely I’m Due
After two failed earnings trades, the author returns with 100 shares and 13 call contracts, betting that TSM's strong fundamentals and low expectations will drive an upside move on the next earnings announcement. The position combines a stable share base with leveraged call options for upside capture.
At post $444.35·Now $456.39+2.7% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d+0.2%
3d-5.0%
1w-5.4%
1m—
3m—
6m—
1y—
“considering TSMC for a 10% slot [of a long-term portfolio]”
Title: 19yo, considering TSMC at 10% of a long-term portfolio — thoughts?
TSMC represents a compelling long-term holding due to its near-monopoly on advanced chip manufacturing, consistent revenue growth, and position as the critical supply-chain chokepoint for AI and semiconductor firms. The author expects TSMC to outpace the S&P 500 over a decade despite geopolitical risks, and views it as a more diversified thematic play than concentrating further in Nvidia.
At post $417.41·Now $456.39+9.3% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d+0.1%
3d+0.0%
1w-0.8%
1m+8.1%
3m—
6m—
1y—
TSMC is the Hormuz Strait of semiconductors. I moved 30% of my portfolio over today.
TSM is severely undervalued relative to megacap peers due to geopolitical risk premium that is overblown; the company's 90% market share in advanced node manufacturing, massive R&D investment, and critical position in AI chip supply create a structural moat. With a 3-5 year horizon, TSM's valuation should re-rate significantly as it diversifies geographically and continues to dominate despite macro AI capex concerns.
At post $418.45·Now $456.39+9.1% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d—
3d+4.1%
1w-0.8%
1m+3.3%
3m+2.1%
6m—
1y—
$TSMr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbullish u/sum_dude44 · 148d ago1 prior · awaiting results Ran a screen on Claude for stocks that hit Peter Lynch criteria for a properly valued stock and Congress Long Positions
TSM meets Peter Lynch's value-to-growth criteria (PEG ≤1) and shows low debt, combined with strong congressional buying interest, positioning it as a properly valued stock with institutional backing.
At post $412.32·Now $456.39+10.7% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d—
3d+2.5%
1w+1.5%
1m+5.8%
3m+1.6%
6m—
1y—
“still bullish on tsm and nvidia”
Today I sold half of my semi etf holdings which i held for 4 years
The author remains bullish on TSMC despite sector-wide concerns, suggesting selective conviction in the best-of-breed semiconductor manufacturers rather than the sector broadly.
At post $399.80·Now $456.39+14.2% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d+4.5%
3d+1.1%
1w+0.5%
1m+6.0%
3m+5.6%
6m—
1y—
HARD TO IMAGINE, BUT HERE IS YOUR CHANCE GETTING PAID SHORTING TECH - TSM
Supply constraints in the chip sector will negatively impact TSM as the first victim. The author is taking a bearish position expecting downside from these structural constraints.
At post $411.68·Now $456.39+10.9% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d—
3d-1.7%
1w-1.8%
1m+0.8%
3m+1.6%
6m—
1y—
I hear that everyone’s a millionaire now - $2M
Author holds TSM as part of a $2M portfolio that has appreciated significantly. Despite expecting near-term market pulldown, maintaining long stock position while hedging with covered calls.
At post $419.50·Now $456.39+8.8% since postedas of Oct 1, 12:31 PM ET
1d-1.3%
3d-1.9%
1w-4.7%
1m-1.0%
3m-0.6%
6m—
1y—