| Window | Theses | Resolved | Wins | Win rate | Avg return | Median return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3d | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1w | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6m | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1y | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.
Author exited LAMResearch along with other AI-exposed semiconductor equipment suppliers due to overvaluation and downstream risks from postponed datacenter builds and material supply constraints.
Author exited Amazon as part of broad AI trade exit, citing valuation disconnected from fundamental risks in supply chains, datacenter capacity, and macro headwinds.
Author exited Alphabet along with other AI-exposed mega-cap tech stocks due to disconnection between valuations and macro risks including supply constraints, energy limitations on datacenters, and unfavorable risk-reward.
Author exited Micron as part of AI semiconductor exit driven by valuation concerns and supply chain risks affecting the sector's growth outlook.
Author exited ASML along with other AI-exposed semiconductor supply chain stocks due to material supply shortages and overvaluation relative to downstream datacenter build delays and critical input constraints.
Author exited NVDA and other major AI stocks due to valuation disconnected from fundamental risks: supply chain constraints on critical materials (helium, bromine, rare earths), postponed data center builds, and weakening macro conditions. AI trade is priced for abundance and cheap capital despite deteriorating risk-reward.
End of results.