$SPY

38 theses
bullish 42%neutral 0%bearish 58%
Avg return (1w)
+0.3%
Win rate (1w)
42% (38 resolved)

Past performance does not predict future results. Informational only, not investment advice.

Recent theses

Prices as of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/brighterside0 · 21d ago2 prior · awaiting results
Short 5 shares of SPY

It won't be oil that brings us to our knees...

US debt has crossed $40 trillion and is set to reach $48 trillion by 2028 with rising interest rates, creating an unsustainable debt spiral. The AI investment bubble is built on circular dependencies and overleveraged banks (Oracle's force majeure on Project Jupiter signals cracks), making a significant market correction imminent as the cost of servicing debt accelerates.

At post $765.61Now $769.84+0.6% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.2%
3d-0.2%
1w+1.2%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/IsaacVu404 · 45d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Short SPY

BEST EXECUTION I EVER MADE SPY + TSLA

Author shorted SPY at $774 and exited at $769 for a gain, still holding open calls at $769 suggesting further downside positioning.

At post $768.28Now $769.84+0.2% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
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1w-0.8%
1m+0.2%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/RopPopPop · 59d agono track record yet
“26k on 1DTE Spy Calls”

26k on 1DTE Spy Calls

Author is betting on SPY upside with a 26k allocation into 1-day-to-expiration call options, expecting a positive move by Monday market open.

At post $763.82Now $769.84+0.8% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d-0.3%
1w+0.5%
1m-0.3%
3m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/T-Zing · 60d agono track record yet
Long SPY $777C exp Sep 11 · 69 contracts

$33k on 69x 777SPY calls for 9/11

Betting on upside move in SPY with leveraged call options expiring September 11. Position sized at 69 contracts as a meme-driven YOLO play with nearly full portfolio commitment.

At post $760.71Now $769.84+1.2% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+0.4%
3d+0.4%
1w+1.1%
1m+0.1%
3m—
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsLossbearish
u/Str8rDay · 65d ago1 prior · awaiting results
Long SPY $600P exp Aug 21

I lost $178k YTD being a bear

Author expected the S&P 500 to decline significantly given macro headwinds (US debt, oil prices, rising yields). Purchased SPY put options in August expiry with a large notional position but closed them at a substantial loss.

At post $770.76Now $769.84-0.1% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
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3d-0.7%
1w-0.9%
1m-1.5%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsVerified Gainbullish
u/0DTEDEGEN1 · 67d agono track record yet
Long SPY $763C exp Aug 4

Closed SPY $763.00C 08/04/26 for $79,709.00 gain (+4003%) last week, I didn't know I could post like this. No body text so this is in title

Author closed a long SPY call option at massive profit (4003% gain), capturing bullish move in the broad market.

At post $775.95Now $769.84-0.8% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.2%
3d-0.2%
1w-2.0%
1m-1.7%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/Ballburnisher24 · 75d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo
Long SPY $765P exp Aug 12

SPY $20K 765P Aug 12 YOLO

Author expects an ugly 3% drop on Monday next week and is betting a $20K position on puts to recover recent losses or lose it all.

At post $767.88Now $769.84+0.3% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.2%
3d+0.5%
1w+0.4%
1m+0.0%
3m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsGainbullish
u/ClintAwana · 76d ago1 prior · 100% at 3mo
“766 call strike that I picked up early morning”

Thank you $SPY calls!

Author profited from SPY call options at the 766 strike, indicating a bullish directional bet that paid off.

At post $769.42Now $769.84+0.1% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.2%
3d+0.3%
1w-0.1%
1m+0.2%
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$SPYr/ValueInvestingDiscussionbearish
u/JoeInOR · 76d ago14 prior · 100% at 3mo

The True FCF yield on the S&P 500 is running 2.51% below the 10-year treasury. That negative risk premium has shown up a few times since 1987, and it doesn't portend good things...

The S&P 500's true free cash flow yield is 2.51% below the 10-year treasury, creating an inverted risk premium that historically has resolved through either sharp earnings growth or significant price declines. With the 10-year at 4.6-4.7%, just below the stable 5-7% band, current equity multiples are thin and defensible but not compelling, especially as rate policy remains uncertain.

At post $769.42Now $769.84+0.1% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.2%
3d+0.3%
1w-0.1%
1m+0.2%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish
u/Independent-Eye9513 · 77d ago2 prior · awaiting results

Why the actual fuck is SPY pushing ATHs this week?

SPY's 4% rally in a few trading days to all-time highs is unsustainable and reflects an unhealthy market. The lack of fundamental justification and elevated volatility will likely trigger a pullback as investors get scared, creating a near-term downturn over days to weeks.

At post $755.79Now $769.84+1.9% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+1.8%
3d+1.4%
1w+2.0%
1m+1.0%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish
u/SupervisoryEffect · 80d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo

Kevin Warsh = Worse Than Hitler

Kevin Warsh's opaque Fed policy and refusal to provide market guidance increases economic unpredictability, which will trigger risk-off behavior from institutional investors and trigger a severe market recession given the current market's dependence on AI-driven gains.

At post $745.18Now $769.84+3.3% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d+1.4%
1w+3.5%
1m+3.0%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsGainbearish
u/_Doomer_Wojack_ · 87d ago1 prior · awaiting results
“Bought $738 strike puts when it broke the VWAP. Contract got up to $1.15”

$SPY 0DE Gains - Claude Bot Making Me Money Now

Author used a Claude-powered bot analyzing volume and VWAP signals to trade 0DTE options, buying $738 strike puts when SPY broke below VWAP and closing for a quick gain.

At post $737.10Now $769.84+4.4% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d+0.0%
1w+1.1%
1m+3.6%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/SuperBearPut · 94d ago6 prior · 40% at 3mo
Long SPY $735P exp Jul 20 · 220 contracts

1DTE $21K SPY FD Yolo - 735P 7/20/26 220x @ .96 Each

Author is betting on a sharp SPY decline at market open Monday, holding 220 put contracts (735 strike, 7/20/26 expiry) purchased at the bottom of a recent sell-off. The thesis is based on perceived weakness (SPY below 744, QQQ failing to reclaim 700) signaling a potential bear market move.

At post $741.45Now $769.84+3.8% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d-0.2%
1w-0.6%
1m+4.4%
3m+4.1%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Special_Afternoon_85 · 94d ago5 prior · 60% at 3mo
“+230k SPY 0DTE”

+230k SPY 0DTE, five out of five 🎯

Author made a profitable 0DTE (zero days to expiration) options trade on SPY, netting $230k profit. The five out of five emoji reference suggests a high-conviction winning streak or successful outcome.

At post $741.45Now $769.84+3.8% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d-0.2%
1w-0.6%
1m+4.4%
3m+4.1%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/aguslucas · 101d agono track record yet

How cooked am I?

The S&P 500 continues to rally to all-time highs regardless of macro headwinds, suggesting unstoppable upward momentum.

At post $753.08Now $769.84+2.2% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d—
3d-0.8%
1w-1.5%
1m+2.4%
3m+2.8%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObullish
u/Special_Afternoon_85 · 103d ago5 prior · 60% at 3mo
“0DTE SPY”

$156k -> $425k 0DTE SPY

Trader executed profitable 0DTE (zero days-to-expiration) options trades on SPY, turning $156k into $425k. The post implies a bullish directional bet on SPY via short-dated call or spread positions that capitalized on intraday moves.

At post $743.55Now $769.84+3.5% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+0.8%
3d+1.3%
1w+1.3%
1m+3.7%
3m+4.8%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsDiscussionbearish
u/MeMahi · 119d agono track record yet

The next Financial Crisis is here, and it's not just AI.

A systemic financial crisis driven by $2+ trillion in unregulated private credit with hidden defaults, PIK structures, and synthetic accounting is building toward a 2027-2029 maturity wall. As rates stay high and borrowers default en masse, asset managers will freeze withdrawals and pension funds/retail investors holding Private Credit CLOs will suffer severe losses similar to 2008 but with greater opacity and slower unwind.

At post $742.55Now $769.84+3.7% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-1.5%
3d-1.4%
1w-0.5%
1m+0.4%
3m+2.6%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsDDbearish
u/ChungWuEggwua · 138d ago1 prior · 0% at 3mo
“Position screenshot showing put options (exact strike/expiry not clearly legible from description)”

Upcoming Epic Crash for 🌈🧸 Pride Month

Oil shortage will trigger short-term inflation surge, pushing long-duration treasury yields above 5-6%, leading to demand destruction and recession. Technical divergence on MACD/RSI confirms bearish setup with base case target of SPY 600.

At post $750.44Now $769.84+2.6% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+0.4%
3d-2.2%
1w-3.8%
1m-1.3%
3m+1.0%
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/1jb · 139d ago4 prior · 33% at 3mo
Long SPY puts

Ripped a $130k SPY puts YOLO for this week

Author believes the market is due for a collapse because current valuations are unsustainably inflated and cannot continue being artificially propped up.

At post $755.74Now $769.84+1.9% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d-0.7%
3d-2.9%
1w-3.0%
1m-1.9%
3m+1.0%
6m—
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$SPYr/wallstreetbetsYOLObearish
u/PR0H181D0 · 144d agono track record yet
“Almost full port into SPY puts”

This clown show has gotta stop at some point. Almost full port into SPY puts LFG

Author is going heavily into SPY put options, betting on a significant market downturn. The post expresses frustration with market conditions and expects the bull run to end soon.

At post $750.80Now $769.84+2.5% since postedas of Oct 19, 11:31 AM ET
1d+0.2%
3d+0.2%
1w+0.3%
1m-3.4%
3m+1.5%
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original post →